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So how many wins do we feel we need by 23 games (six away) to have any chance of pulling this one off. I'd have to say four - if we got to 20 points I'd say we have half a chance but much less - around the 15 mark even and I'd say we're down and out.
We actually only got 12 points in the second half of last season - and whilst the final figure may be higher this year (a lot of clubs are heading to the 25 point mark already) it is entirely possible if we can get 3 wins and a couple of draws before game 23.