| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline 00:29 - Mar 2 with 1421 views | Barsidepete |
*MFB_CUFC made the most of a tough fixture list, collecting 6 points, tops for the weekend along with myself... MFB did that on the strength of Bristol City 2-1 Gillingham (also tipped by THRILLSEEKER, still in the mix for the Prem title, and RSCOSWORTH, with a valuable 5 points to keep D1 playoff hopes afloat)...
*My 6 points were collected via three outcomes and Burnley 2-0 Derby spot on, that one predicted by THENET and BLUE4U2 as well)... no other results nicked by PLers past week, outcomes at best, meaning 5 points tallied the hard route, except for RSCO, as noted above, one by one gathered, five 1-pointers from COOMSTER, GSY163, OHORIORI, and THENET...
THE TABLES: (210 played)
(tie-breaker: Most 3 pointers & then first to post)
PREM
1. GATE16... (26).................(+3) (149)
2. thrillseeker... (27).............(+4) (134)
3. mfb_cufc... (18)...............(+6) (134)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
4. BFG... (21)........................(+3) (129)
5. Barsidepete... (21)............(+6) (126)
6. ethicsgirl... (21)................(+2) (125)
7. coomster... (19)...............(+5) (124)
8. mrhappy... (22)................(+4) (122)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
9. durham_exile... (19)..........(+3) (118)
10. Tropical_Us... (16)...........(+3) (103)
11. eagledares... (9)...............(+3) (79)
Division One
1. NOAH4X4... (27)..............(+4) (161)
2. sevebalo... (25)................(+3) (145)
3. wessex_exile... (23)..........(+4) (141)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
4. gsy163... (19)..................(+5) (134)
5. BluenWightExile... (21).....(+1) (130)
6. TheNet... (26)..................(+5) (128)
7. OhOriOri... (18)................(+5) (126)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
8. gerry_us... (15).................(+4) (118)
9. RSCOSWORTH...(20).........(+5) (117)
10. Blue4U2... (16)...............(+4) (117)
11. GoonerDes... (14)............(+2) (100)
12. Daniel... (14)....................(+3) (98)
13. BrightSpurs... (11)............(---) (75)
14. Murty ... (12)...................(---) (72)
15. fishface... (6)....................(---) (47)
16. Colukev... (7)....................(---) (39)
Week 30:
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.)
Good luck all 
Pick 10 Presenters:
MFB week 31
ETHICS week 34
DANIEL week 37 (final HGPL week before the Division One playoffs and Charity Shield comp begins) [Post edited 3 Mar 2014 6:05]
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 08:10 - Mar 3 with 997 views | BluenWightExile |
BHA 1-1 Read
Midd 1-0 Ip
Shre 0-1 Brist
Steve 2-1 Tran
Wal 1-1 Wolves
SU 2-1 Char |  |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 09:21 - Mar 3 with 994 views | noah4x4 |
In a week where 6 was the tops; I was grateful for 4.
2 -1 BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING
1 - 0 MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH
0 - 2 SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY
0 - 2 STEVENAGE v TRANMERE
1 - 3 WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON
1 - 1 SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.). |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 09:37 - Mar 3 with 991 views | thrillseeker |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1-0
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-0
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 2-1
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 2-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 0-2
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON 1-0 |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 09:58 - Mar 3 with 987 views | gerry_us |
Brighton and Hove Albion 2 Reading 1
Middlesbrough 2 Ipswich Town 0
Shrewsbury 1 Bristol City 1
Stevenage Borough 1 Tranmere Rovers 1
Walsall 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3
Sheffield United 2 Charlton Athletic 0
Will be posting from the Far East internet allowing for the next two weeks Pete so if "no show" can I have the "2-1s" please? |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 10:33 - Mar 3 with 987 views | noah4x4 |
Anybody like a bet.....? A salutary thought just struck me after reading today's HGPL table...
Thrill-Seeker has caught me as regards having 27 x 'all correct scores' (e.g. three pointers). Gate16 and TheNet are also close on 26. However, I have a current total points advantage of an additional 27 points over Thrill-seeker (12 over Gate16); which must reflect me having found 27 additional correct 'results' (e.g. at one point). That's a good advantage; but the purpose of this comment isn't to crow about that. It's simply an observation about typical betting odds and greedy bookmakers...
To date in the HGPL; this hence gives me a grand total of 54 correctly predicted 'results' (with half also being correct scores) from having played 210 matches; which is a 'correct result' ratio of 25.7% and 12.8% for correct scores. In the context of the HGPL, that does sound like an astonishingly good ratio; but I do carefully study the 'form' books as any good betting man should perhaps do (n.b. what a sad life I lead -it's called retirement!) .
But the serious question is; what would be my financial status had I been playing this game 'for real' at (say) William Hill and not merely 'for fun' in the HGPL? For gambling addicts; one that deserves analysis; and the HGPL provides a statistically significant set of data.
If I was a betting man (and fortunately I am not); the bookmakers odds for predicting mere individual 'results' (e.g. for a win/draw/loss) are so poor that I would now be bucket loads out of pocket having FAILED to predict a 'result' on 156 occasions out of 210 (74.2%). If you then do the maths as regards the marginally higher odds available for correct scores and my prediction success ratio there of 12.8%' then I would still be vastly out of pocket. In combination; it is a betting disaster. It's evident that what we FAIL to predict correctly has most impact on our wallets.
So if the HGPL proves nothing else; it does show that the bookie will ALWAYS win; unless one gets really lucky with a multiple all correct score accumulator (such as an 8/8 all correct results W/D/L forecast). Betting on INDIVIDUAL games always means that one will ultimately lose over time; as this sample of 210 matches and 27 players (hence 5,670 total player predictions) proves. Betting on football is clearly a mugs game! I do hope that nobody has been following my predictions at the bookies (or their own); and we all play the predictions game only for fun. [Post edited 3 Mar 2014 10:34]
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 13:30 - Mar 3 with 973 views | mrhappy |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-1
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1-1
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 1-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 0-1
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) 0-2 |  |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 17:40 - Mar 3 with 962 views | Madeira163 |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 2-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 3-1
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 2-2
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 0-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 0-2
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON 1-1 |  | | |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 18:22 - Mar 3 with 959 views | eagledares |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 2-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-0
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 2-2
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 1-2
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 0-3
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) 2-1 | | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 18:47 - Mar 3 with 957 views | Barsidepete |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 09:21 - Mar 3 by noah4x4 |
In a week where 6 was the tops; I was grateful for 4.
2 -1 BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING
1 - 0 MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH
0 - 2 SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY
0 - 2 STEVENAGE v TRANMERE
1 - 3 WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON
1 - 1 SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.). |
I'd like to believe I can make it challenging for you 
Well have to just wait and see what MFB has in mind for next week. | |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 19:27 - Mar 3 with 949 views | wessex_exile |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 2-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-2
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1-0
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 0-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 1-3
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) 2-2 |  |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 19:55 - Mar 3 with 943 views | Gate16 |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 2-0
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-2
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1-2
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 3-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 1-3
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) 1-2 |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 06:43 - Mar 4 with 925 views | durham_exile |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2 v 3 READING
MIDDLESBROUGH 2 v 1 IPSWICH
SHREWSBURY 2 v 2 BRISTOL CITY
STEVENAGE 1 v 0 TRANMERE
WALSALL 0 v 2 WOLVERHAMPTON
SHEFFIELD UTD 1 v 2 CHARLTON
Up the U's |  |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 14:24 - Mar 4 with 907 views | GoonerDes |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1 -3
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 0-1
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1-0
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 0-2
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 1-2
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) - 1-1 | | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 17:19 - Mar 4 with 901 views | Barsidepete |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 10:33 - Mar 3 by noah4x4 |
Anybody like a bet.....? A salutary thought just struck me after reading today's HGPL table...
Thrill-Seeker has caught me as regards having 27 x 'all correct scores' (e.g. three pointers). Gate16 and TheNet are also close on 26. However, I have a current total points advantage of an additional 27 points over Thrill-seeker (12 over Gate16); which must reflect me having found 27 additional correct 'results' (e.g. at one point). That's a good advantage; but the purpose of this comment isn't to crow about that. It's simply an observation about typical betting odds and greedy bookmakers...
To date in the HGPL; this hence gives me a grand total of 54 correctly predicted 'results' (with half also being correct scores) from having played 210 matches; which is a 'correct result' ratio of 25.7% and 12.8% for correct scores. In the context of the HGPL, that does sound like an astonishingly good ratio; but I do carefully study the 'form' books as any good betting man should perhaps do (n.b. what a sad life I lead -it's called retirement!) .
But the serious question is; what would be my financial status had I been playing this game 'for real' at (say) William Hill and not merely 'for fun' in the HGPL? For gambling addicts; one that deserves analysis; and the HGPL provides a statistically significant set of data.
If I was a betting man (and fortunately I am not); the bookmakers odds for predicting mere individual 'results' (e.g. for a win/draw/loss) are so poor that I would now be bucket loads out of pocket having FAILED to predict a 'result' on 156 occasions out of 210 (74.2%). If you then do the maths as regards the marginally higher odds available for correct scores and my prediction success ratio there of 12.8%' then I would still be vastly out of pocket. In combination; it is a betting disaster. It's evident that what we FAIL to predict correctly has most impact on our wallets.
So if the HGPL proves nothing else; it does show that the bookie will ALWAYS win; unless one gets really lucky with a multiple all correct score accumulator (such as an 8/8 all correct results W/D/L forecast). Betting on INDIVIDUAL games always means that one will ultimately lose over time; as this sample of 210 matches and 27 players (hence 5,670 total player predictions) proves. Betting on football is clearly a mugs game! I do hope that nobody has been following my predictions at the bookies (or their own); and we all play the predictions game only for fun. [Post edited 3 Mar 2014 10:34]
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Appreciate your insight, Noah, but you're discounting one major variable. Fixtures are not selected to be easily sussed. I mean, how many times have I placed a large accumulator and missed out on a payday missing one... Perhaps in season 12 we could integrate a poll certain weeks and see what ties PLers want to predict? Literally, the chosen fixtures (Moyes reference, haha:D ..
A good punter can weave past the hassle .. I believe the HGPL often reflects matchups no relatively sane hopeful would place dosh on unless they were certain because of long-supporting interests or some otherwise inexplicable intuition.
I believe this is one of the most difficult PL's you will find. Those who come out on top truly earn it. | |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 20:46 - Mar 5 with 858 views | BFG |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-2
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1-3
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 1-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 0-2
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) 0-0
Toughie this week  |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 10:05 - Mar 6 with 844 views | Tropical_Us |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1 - 0
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 0 - 0
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1 - 1
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 2 - 2
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 0 - 3
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) 1 - 0 | | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 21:28 - Mar 6 with 834 views | mfb_cufc |
BRIGHTON 1 READING 2
MIDDLESBROUGH 0 IPSWICH 1
SHREWSBURY 1 BRISTOL CITY 2
STEVENAGE 2 TRANMERE 1
WALSALL 1 WOLVES 2
SHEFFIELD UTD 2 CHARLTON 1 |  |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 13:33 - Mar 7 with 819 views | coomster |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-1
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 2-1
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 2-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 1-1
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON 2-1 |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 17:35 - Mar 7 with 805 views | sevebalo |
1 -1 BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING
2 - 0 MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH
1 - 1 SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY
1 - 2 STEVENAGE v TRANMERE
0 - 3 WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON
1 - 1 SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 22:43 - Mar 7 with 784 views | Barsidepete |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 09:58 - Mar 3 by gerry_us |
Brighton and Hove Albion 2 Reading 1
Middlesbrough 2 Ipswich Town 0
Shrewsbury 1 Bristol City 1
Stevenage Borough 1 Tranmere Rovers 1
Walsall 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3
Sheffield United 2 Charlton Athletic 0
Will be posting from the Far East internet allowing for the next two weeks Pete so if "no show" can I have the "2-1s" please? |
All good with 2-1's secured for the allowed two weeks.
You back to attend at Wolves, Ger? | |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 00:44 - Mar 8 with 780 views | RSCOSWORTH |
Week 30:
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 1-1
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1-2
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 2-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 0-2
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON 1-0 |  |
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 04:01 - Mar 8 with 777 views | Barsidepete |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 2-1
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 2-1
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 2-0
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 2-0
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 1-2
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.) 0-2
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| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 08:46 - Mar 8 with 766 views | TheNet |
2 - 1 BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING
1 - 1 MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH
1 - 2 SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY
1 - 1 STEVENAGE v TRANMERE
1 - 2 WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON
2 - 1 SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON (Sun.)
Posted from the slopes of the Pyrenees :-) |  | | |
| The HGPL Round 30 (of 37), Saturday 15:00 deadline on 09:18 - Mar 8 with 765 views | OhOriOri |
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION v READING 1-0
MIDDLESBROUGH v IPSWICH 0-2
SHREWSBURY v BRISTOL CITY 1-3
STEVENAGE v TRANMERE 1-1
WALSALL v WOLVERHAMPTON 2-1
SHEFFIELD UTD v CHARLTON 1-4 |  | | |
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