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Bill's Take: Derby Need Promotion To Avoid FFP Monster

I was looking at the progress the Rams have made since Nigel Clough became manager in January 2009 and to make it a bit clearer, I've summarized the seasons below. It looks as though, with the exception of 2010/2011 which was a really poor season, that there has been a steady improvement.

A case could be made that if the club simply keeps making gradual improvements, as we have been, that promotion is assured... eventually. Slow but sure does the trick, and all of that.

Season

P

W

D

L

F

A

P

Pos

2008/2009

46

14

12

20

55

67

54

18

2009/2010

46

15

11

20

53

63

56

14

2010/2011

46

13

10

23

58

71

49

19

2011/2012

46

18

10

18

50

58

64

12

2012/2013

46

16

13

17

65

62

61

10

The problem is that, as I indicated in my column last week, there is a monster called ‘Financial Fair Play’ which is about to rear its ugly head.

From the 2014/2015 season onwards, Championship clubs are permitted to make a loss of no more than £3M before sanctions, including transfer embargoes kick in. The Rams are currently losing close to £8M per year.

So a case can be made that slow but sure is not going to work; that the Rams need to be promoted to the Prem this season (2013/2014) or they may have to begin dismantling the team in order to dramatically cut losses next season (2014/2015), so as not to incur penalties.

Of course, regardless of FFP, the Rams current level of money losing is not sustainable for the long term; losses have to be cut to more reasonable levels.

How real is the threat of FFP? Are Championship clubs taking steps to comply?

For a better idea on how it can be achieved I recommend following the link below to an excellent article from earlier this month, which talks about Brighton's efforts to cut costs, as well as the Championship in general.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/24024109

It contains this quote from David Burke, Brighton's head of football operations:

"We know the ins and outs of every part of it and we have had to save about £3m in total across the club... That has meant a huge effort from the club to reduce costs. It has enabled us to hit this first year with a player budget which is the same as last year."

And this one:

"My experience of the transfer window is that practically every club hasn't bought players and is trying to get rid of players - hence why the wages are coming down and there is a glut of players, especially midfielders."

That puts a new perspective on the whole situation with John Brayford: why we did not receive a larger fee for him, why it was important for the club that he should move, and what plans the club has for using the money received.

All of this also makes us realise that the Rams' directors have a very real challenge in front of them: they need to cut a great deal of cost in a manner which allows the club to continue improving; and they can spend little to nothing on transfer fees to bring players in.

Supporting the Rams is rarely dull.



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