By continuing to use the site, you agree to our use of cookies and to abide by our Terms and Conditions. We in turn value your personal details in accordance with our Privacy Policy.
Please log in or register. Registered visitors get fewer ads.
An Australian professor of Data Analytics from Griffith University who predicted Trump’s first win, the Australian Federal Election(when all the polls said the opposite) and Brexit has called it - Trump will be re-elected for another 4 years. You heard it here first.
dry stone walls are a feature of the countryside over here, as are houses made of local stone - I have been on jobs using facing stone imported from china "As it's cheaper".
Hello Brian. Basically 2/1 with Betfair - 15/8 I think it was - so not great and all the polls say I'm wrong. My gut just says he's still got the personality and hidden support to push it through.
The day Donald Trump announced he was running in 2016 , I placed a bet on his winning the Presidency. The odds offered to me by the bookies were astronomical and I realized that the media had no idea of the discontent among blue collar workers. A couple of days later I flew over to London and was blown away at the prices quoted, staggering odds, the British media had lock stock and barrel followed the Americans and had doubled down, even his chance of being the Republican candidate was 500/1. I don’t bet often, but being the son of a National Hunt jockey and the son in law of a bookie, both men wise with the wagers, I knew this was an opportunity I could not miss. Needless to say, it was the biggest score of my life.
Haha. The laptop story that even Murdoch-owned Fox News passed up on, that the Murdoch-owned WSJ felt compelled to debunk after a WSJ Op-Ed piece, before the Murdoch-owned NY Post published it with a byline given to someone with one story behind them and another who claims they had nothing to do with it? That story? The one that Giuliani himself said had a 50/50 chance of being Russian disinformation?
I think you've got a chance. The pollsters all say otherwise, and there's no doubt that this election should be easier to predict as there are fewer undecideds, but the pollsters always sound convinced and they've been wrong so often of late that you may well have a good bet for yourself there.
"The opposite of love, after all, is not hate, but indifference."
And also, just entertaining the idea that it isn't all a crock of shit for a second...Hunter Biden isn't on the ballot and I don't remember Margaret Thatcher either being responsible or paying a political price for her ne'er do well son.
The difference is Hilary lost very narrowly within the margin of error in swing states. Biden is outside the margin of error in a lot of them. He's up 9% in Wis, 7.5% in Michigan, 5% in Penn - he takes those 3 and it's very very hard for Trump to win.
Further, Trump's polling with women isn't even atrocious - it's evaporated. The white women who voted for him last time have deserted him en masse. I read private GOP polling is forecasting a bloodbath.
Now, I'm the eternal pessimist so I remain in the belief we'll wake up to his stupid orange face continue to stagnate the world - but this ain't 2016, and just saying the same thing will happen again is as naive as saying Biden's gonna get 340
It's unlikely that Biden will see out his term if he wins. He will calm it all down, step aside and handover to the very capable Kamala Harris who will win a second-term.
Biden just needs to get his folks out the door to vote.
Obama seems to be doing a pretty good job at rallying Dems to vote. Watched his last few speeches including today in Florida and it made me want to vote!
Even Trump tuned in as he’s tweeting about Obama this afternoon. Smart strategy to let Obama go after Trump as it’ll get under his skin.
if he does win, it won't be because of shy supporters. More corruption there on voting than I can believe. Crazy system there and he's pulling every lever to stop votes being counted.
IMO the POTUS should be like a football (soccer) referee, the less you see/are aware of them the better job they're doing.
He's the complete opposite and is probably getting on everyone's t*ts. STFU and spend more time on actually doing things.
If he does win, which he still may as the voting system is more bent than in Robert Mugabe's tenure, at least he constitutionally cannot get a third term, though I'd put a fiver on it that at some point in the next four years it comes up that he's trying to change that "for a fairer vote for what the people want".
The Hunter Biden shows how desperate republicans are...
america has the biggest economy, the biggest pharmaceutical industries, the best medical research facilities, the most well endowed govt, the second best manufacturing capacity after china, the most sought after doctors and researchers and yet america has had the worst covid record in the world.... its literlaly akin to man city spending a billoon dollars and finishing 20th
and yet these clowns think that americans care about some disinformation campaign about bidens son???
Not forgetting about the "legally blind" computer repair shop owner who assumed it was Hunter Biden that dropped off the laptop because it was his name on the paperwork. The blind owner then looked into the contents of the laptop and was apparently so horrified by what he found he alerted the FBI, though the FBI has not confirmed this.
Yeah, a blind PC shop owner 'looking' at the content of a laptop dropped off in a different county from where Biden lived...that was never collected. Sounds plausible to me! CCTV footage would easily prove who dropped it off but unfortunately it was wiped (along with all the CCTV footage in the surrounding area), shame.
It’s not a choice between Chump and Biden. It’s a vote to either save America from dictatorship or not. And to all the people thinking how hilarious this all is, imagine what an unchecked unhinged Chump would be like for the world. It’s not a fricking joke. He’ll cozy up more with the saudis, Putin, Erdogan, and co and shite all over Europe and the U.K.
He was paying over 3/1 on betfair a few days ago and has been drifting in the odds despite the vast majority of bets going to Trump. Maybe the bookies have it wrong, we'll see, but drifting odds for someone being heavily backed is counter intuitive.
If Trump does win, then not only God help us all (he's far crazier then 4 years ago) but Everyone working for opinion poll organisations should be fired.