Predictions 2008-9 - 15th Exeter City Sunday, 3rd Aug 2008 10:56
Our lack of knowledge of all things non league shines through here as we predict Exeter City fortunes. We even call it the Conference rather than Blue Square Premier. Just be happy that we've finally dropped the Vauxhall tag.
Exeter City |
last
season at a glance |
If you're going to win promotion, you may as well do
it in style. Picture the scene. Conference Play Off semi finals, you've
lost the first leg at home 2-1 to your local rivals, and despite a
valiant effort, with just twenty minutes to go, you're 3-1 down on
aggregate and having to put up with your bitter enemies celebrating the
victory and singing songs about Wembley. Then twenty minutes and four
goals later, you've completed one of the greatest comebacks ever seen in
football to win the second leg 4-1. They won the Play Off final beating
Cambridge to secure their return to League Football, but it was that
game against Torquay which will last the longest in the minds of the
Grecians.
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The
gaffer - Paul Tisdale |
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When Exeter appointed Paul Tisdale, they did so plucking him pretty much from
out of nowhere. He had previously been in charge of a bunch of lazy, scruffy
students as manager of Team Bath, where their main achievement was getting
coverage on BBC1 for their FA Cup game against Mansfield Town. But since
arriving at St James Park, he's fully justified that decision by the Exeter
board of directors. In his first season, he took the Grecians to their first
ever appearance in the Conference Play Offs, before getting beaten by Morecambe
in the Final. However, he took them a step further in 2007-8 with the win over
Cambridge, and securing a return to the Football League after a five year
absence.
Tisdale's style is one to be much admited. I don't mean he wears nice clothes
and that, but his side has been noted for a very patient game, where the
emphasis is on playing football in the correct way - something not always
applicable in the Conference, and all of his successes have been done despite
having recouped over £250,000 worth of transfers during his time.
Certainly one of the best up and coming managers about.
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Reasons for a better season |
A better season? Have a read of what we've put as
happened last year. Can it really get any better than that? You're
talking best moment ever there for many an Exeter supporter, and
competing against the likes of Barnet and Port Vale will hardly get
their supporters reminiscing in the pubs for hours upon end.
From a non supporters point of view, a better
season would see consolidation in League Two, with perhaps a push for a
third successive Play Offs appearance. Macclesfield showed last season
that its possible for Play Offs winners to come up and compete at the
top half of the table, and with general consensus suggesting that this
season will be a much more open division, who's to say that they can't
go a step further?
There's three sides that would ordinarily be
considered to be pushing for promotion who will be starting on negative
points, there's not the money bag sides of MK and Peterborough this time
round, and you could argue that a settled side like Exeter could be the
surprise package and sneak through.
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Reasons for a worse season |
We often have concerns over the
promoted side from the Play Offs. History has proved that we're wrong to
have those concerns, as the Play Offs winners have often out performed
the Conference Champions in the opening season.
But it goes as you'd expect. The
Conference is a weaker division than League Two, and whilst you'd
rightfully expect the best side from the Conference to compete, it's a
big ask for the fourth best side to do the same. Exeter finished
eighteen points behind Aldershot last season, and if they have a similar
finish this time round, that could see them as being shark food for the
likes of Luton.
There's been few changes over the
Summer, and bringing in a 36 year old striker who's got 7 goals in
eighteen months isn't someone to pin your season's hopes upon.
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Season depends on - Marcus Stewart |
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When coming to decide who we were going to
put down as the key to Exeter's season, we were most shocked to
look at their team sheet and see the absence of Steve Flack. We
thought he was a permanent resident in the Exeter side and would
be forever more, Amen, and we appeal on behalf of Grecians
everywhere that Flack be reinstated in the Exeter squad. It's
just the right thing to do. So I guess that means we're going
to have to go with the Exeter striker who was once second top
scorer in the Premiership in the form of Marcus Stewart. Now we
appreciate he's getting on a bit now, and over the past couple
of years, he's been more likely to score goals in Sky's Football
Masters rather than in competitive football, but we reckon
there's enough life in the old dog for one last hurrah.
He's been a regular in League One over the past eighteen
months suggesting that he should be more than capable of
performing at this level. He might not be the goal grabber he
once was, but he'll bring experience to the Exeter side which
will be invaluable when the going gets tough.
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RochdaleAFC.com Prediction |
15th - Mid table
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Reasons for our prediction |
There's much to be admired about Exeter City. Their
relegation from the Football League came as a result of mismanagement at
boardroom level which eventually led to the jailing of their chairman
for fraudulent trading rather than simply being crap. Since dropping
to the Conference, they seemed to embrace the Conference better than any
other relegated side has done. I know there's been sides who bounced
back, but Exeter seemed to avoid the usual "We're a league club here on
holiday" ethic which has haunted some sides, and they've avoided the
traps that Oxford and others have fallen into, becoming just another
Conference side.
Every season in the Conference showed a decent finish, with
progression on each season before, and we wouldn't be at all surprised
to see that continue this next season. They've got an excellent manager
in place, and a fan base which is capable of more than re-establishing
themselves back in the Football League.
If there's any doubts, then it's the lack of time between winning the
Play Offs final and the start of the new season. For a progressive club
like Exeter, it doesn't perhaps give them as much time as they would
have liked to prepare for life in the division above.
Furthermore, Tisdale has shown plenty of loyalty to the squad which
served him well last season. We admire that, and fully understand that
he wants to reward the players, but there's no room for sentiment in
football. Take ourselves, it would have been very easy to stick with our
two Play Off heroes Tommy Lee and Ben Muirhead, but both were
effectively shown the door for the simple reason that they would not
make our side a better side.
But we feel that the momentum from the Play Off win will certainly
see them through in much the same way that it did for Morecambe last
season, and given our theory of the bottom of the division being much
poorer this season due to the points deduction and other club's reaction
to it, this will be a year to consolidate and build on for the future
allowing some of the much heralded Grecian youth players to come
through.
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Photo: Action Images
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