The final betting column of the season – if only Rangers had performed as well as our intrepid punters this term.
Final column of the season for me, after a long old slog. Isn’t it amazing how much longer the season seems when you’re not very good? Luckily for me it’s been a pretty profitable season betting wise, with a catalogue of winners this season, as opposed to the previous season where I couldn’t predict the day of the week with any sort of accuracy. Thank you to those of you that read this column, I’m well aware that relatively speaking it’s by far the least important part of Clive’s match build up, but I appreciate Clive allowing me to contribute to LFW in some small fashion.
NAP of the Week: Arsenal (-1) to beat Newcastle @ 7/5
Alan Pardew has all but confirmed that he can’t be arsed for this game now that Newcastle are safe. I expect Arsenal to do a fairly thorough demolition job on Newcastle. I’m not sure whether they’d be able to stop Arsenal if they were trying to win the game, but with nothing to play for this could be a cricket score, therefore a handicap win appeals greatly.
So Close Yet So Far: Spurs to beat Sunderland with BTTS @ 19/10
Spurs will win against a now safe Sunderland side, but it won’t be enough. However, Spurs have only kept two clean sheets in 18 games, and Sunderland have scored in every game under Di Canio. A Spurs with both teams scoring enhances the odds substantially.
QPR related bet: Sturridge to score first @ 10/3
Sturridge has scored six times in his last four games. We don’t really give a sh*t, and even playing for pride appears to have gone out the window. Sturridge to score first seems fairly logical. Here’s one for you though - it’s Carragher’s last ever game. If Liverpool are 4-0 up and cruising and win a penalty, will they give it to him? He’s 17/2 to score anytime. Odds which are incidentally shorter than Granero and Samba and practically the same as Jamie Mackie.
Winners so far:
NAP - Norwich vs QPR - Both teams to score @ 4/6, 24/8/12
LONGSHOT - Tottenham vs West Brom - Lay Tottenham @ 2/1, 24/8/12
NOTEBOOK - Stoke vs Arsenal, Liverpool vs Man City , draw double, 7/1, 24/07/12
QPR related Bet - Zamora to score anytime v Man City at 11/2, 30/08/12
Longshot - Tottenham vs Norwich - lay Spurs @ 1.4, 30/08/12
Notebook - Roma to beat Inter @ 3/1 30/08/12
Nap – Man Utd to win to nil v Wigan , 11/10, 13/09/12
Longshot – double as part of a Premiership Yankee at 10/1, 13/09/12
Longshot – Premier League double at 9/1, 21/09/12
NAP- Chelsea vs Stoke - Chelsea to win to nil @ 11/8, 21/09/12
Longshot – Premier League double at 4/1, 29/09/12
Europe to win the Ryder Cup at 2/1, 29/09/12
QPR related bet: Goal in the first 15 minutes v West Brom @ 9/4, 05/10/12
Notebook: Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Ronaldo to score anytime @ 13/10, 05/10/12
Longshot: Southampton v Fulham, Swansea v Reading draw double: @ 10/1, 05/10/12
NAP - West Brom vs Man City - Both teams to score @ 4/5, 18/10/12
Longshot - Goals Galore 8/1 Quad, 18/10/12
NAP - Sheffied United to beat Portsmouth @ 5/6, 25/10/12
Longshot - Sunday afternoon ‘Goals Galore’ @ 8/1, 25/10/12
Banker: Van Persie to score first against Arsenal @ 9/2, 2/11/12
NAP: Crystal Palace to win at Peterborough @ 7/5
Inevitable Scorers: Suarez to score first vs Wigan (4/1), 16/11/12
NAP: Arsenal vs Spurs - both teams to score @ 4/7, 16/11/12
NAP - Man Utd vs QPR - Man U to win & BTTS @ 7/4, 24/11/12
Other QPR Related Bet - Sunderland vs QPR - Draw @ 13/5, 24/11/12
NAP of the week - Lay Chelsea (vs West Ham) @ 16/15, 30/11/12
NAP of the week - Norwich to beat Wigan @ 16/13, 14/12/12
NAP – QPR and West Brom to draw, 5/2, 04/01/13
Longshot – Brighton to beat Newcastle 7/4, 04/01/13
Notebook – Cheltenham v Everton, both teams to score and Everton to win 9/4, 04/01/13
Aston Villa vs Southampton - Southampton to win @ 31/16, 11/01/13
Man Utd vs Liverpool - BTTS, Man U to win @ 9/4, 11/01/13
Nap: Liverpool & Man City to beat Norwich & Fulham @ 3/4, 18/01/13
NAP of the Week: Stoke vs Man City - Man City to win @ 4/5, 25/01/13
Notebook - Stoke vs Wigan, Sunderland vs Swansea draw double 10/1, 25/01/13
Longshot: Barnsley to beat Blackpool and both teams to score @ 15/2, 01/02/13
NAP of the week: Man Utd to beat Fulham @ 13/20, 01/02/13
NAP of the Week: Man Utd to beat Everton @ 11/13, 08/02/2013
Chelsea to beat Wigan by at least two goals @ Evens, 08/02/2013
QPR Related bet: Man U to win 2-0 at 8/1, 23/02/13
QPR related bet: QPR to score at least twice @ 12/5, 01/03/13
Both Teams to Score Treble: Real vs Barca, Gareth Bale vs Arsenal, Southampton vs QPR @ 4/1, 01/03/13
NAP of the week: Newcastle to beat Stoke @ 17/20, 08/03/12
Cheltenham Festival: Sprinter Sacre to win @ Evens, 08/03/12
QPR related bet: QPR to score at least two vs Villa @ 7/4, 15/03/13
NAP: Man Utd to win to nil vs Reading @ 17/20
QPR related bet: Berbatov to score anytime @ 7/5, 29/03/13
NAP of the week: Everton to win to nil @ 13/10, 29/03/13
NAP: Southampton to Beat Reading @ 5/4, 05/04/13
QPR related bet - HT/FT Arsenal/Arsenal @ 13/10, 03/05/13
NAP of the week: Man United (-1) vs Swansea @ 4/5, 10/05/13
All eyes will be on one man on Sunday as the Anfield faithful give Jamie Carragher a well deserved send off. For a man who has given unparalleled service to his club for many a year the Liverpool fans and team will no doubt want to celebrate with a party atmosphere and a win. And as this season has shown, if your team wants to celebrate, who better to play than the debacle that is QPR?
It’s hard previewing QPR games at the moment as I'm at a loss to understand Harry's team selections. He doesn’t seem to care, the players don’t seem to care and frankly, for this game, I along with many of you don’t care. I have no idea who he will play, but in all truth, based on what I’ve seen since the Wigan game, it doesn’t really matter. Liverpool are going to have a field day.
Last week, Liverpool without Suarez and Gerrard tore Fulham apart. They scored three but could easily have had six. Sturridge is looking like realising the potential that many have seen in him, and they are creating chances for fun. A main part of this is the exciting Philippe Coutinho. This kid is something special .I’ve watched him develop in Italy and he just gets better week on week since his arrival on Merseyside. To put it in simple terms, come Sunday, he is going to rip us a new one. Alongside Sturridge, our fragile defence are in for a torrid time. I can see a goalfest here but the prices are reflective of this with Liverpool the shortest price on the coupon at 1/4 and with QPR available at a whopping 14/1 to win the match. As mentioned already on this site, many fans fancying the 6/5 available for Liverpool to win to nil, and I’ve personally had a decent bet on this as Carragher will be marshalling his defence for a clean sheet on his last appearance.
I'm also having an each way first goal scorer bet at 888sport on Mr Coutinho. A big profit if he scores first, a small profit if he scores at any time. And I think there will be more than a few times Liverpool hit the back of the net on Sunday.
Liverpool v QPR bets for Sunday.
Liverpool to win to Nil - 6/5 (Coral)
Philippe Coutinho First Goalscorer Each Way - 11/2 (888Sport)
As for next season, QPR are being quoted at 5/1 to win the Championship. I wouldn't back it with stolen money.....
Enjoy the summer, and I will be back for more doom and gloom next season...
Winners so far:
Norwich v QPR, 11/10 Under 2.5 goals 24/08/12
West Brom v QPR, more than 2.5 goals, 4/5, 05/10/12
James Morrison to score anytime v QPR, 5/1, 05/10/12
QPR and Everton to draw 13/5, 18/10/12
MK Dons at plus 0.75 v QPR, Evens, 25/01/13
Southampton to score their first goal after the 30th Minute at 21/20, 01/03/13
Tweet @loftforwords, @andy_hillman