Professional odds compiler Owen Goulding says newly tightened defences at QPR and Brentford can bring money in the Both Teams to Score market on Friday.
QPR travel down the road on Friday night for another London derby. Results have been poor in such games in recent times and with Brentford having won their last three games, it’s not going to be easy to turn round that trend.
Two of those wins have been against very poor Charlton and Rotherham sides however (Wolves being the other team defeated) and prior to their recent good run of form, the Bees had only managed two wins all season, both against promoted sides. It’s apparent to the Bees faithful that midfield maestro Alan Judge is the key to Brentford's recent good form. QPR will be looking to keep the Judge quiet and whether they do or not will be key to whether or not a result can be gained.
It was extremely disturbing how slowly and devoid of any passion Rangers started on their last trip away in West London vs Fulham and if they start as they did that night with what appeared to be a complete lack of understanding of a local derby, then Brentford will steamroller the Hoops. Rangers’ performances and results have been a bit up and down in recent weeks and with Charlie Austin nearing a return it will be interesting to see team selections in the coming weeks.
For this game, looking at prices, Brentford are currently slight favourites at 13/10 with the draw at 13/5 and QPR available at a best priced 9/4. These don't interest me but looking at the Both teams to score - Yes/No market, in four of Brentford’s last five games one of the sides has failed to score and the same has happened in three of QPR's last five games. That equates to 80% of Brentford's recent games and 60% of QPR's where one of the sides in the match has failed to score. Therefore the 11/8 currently available (equates to 42%) seems well below the chances of it actually happening so that’s the bet for me.
Recommended Bet: Brentford v QPR - Both Teams to score - NO @11/8 (Bet Victor)
Elsewhere we were very unlucky with James Wilson and Bira Dembele both going close at huge prices last week, so I'll be sticking with them this week. Bet of the weekend however, comes in League One where Shrewsbury make the short trip to Port Vale. Shrews were struggling early doors but having signed Larnel Cole and Sulley Kaikai on loan recently, have seen an upturn in their form. Kaikai is a minor doubt for this game which would be a blow but the 9/4 looks well worth a play - especially considering Port Vale will be missing top scorer Ikpeazu through suspension.
Bet of Weekend: Shrewsbury to beat Port Vale @ 9/4 (Betfred)
Big Price Goalscorers:
James Wilson (Oldham) to score anytime - 15/1 (Betvictor)
Bira Dembele (Barnet) to score anytime - 11/1 (Betvictor/PPower)
Tom Lees (Sheff Wed) to score anytime - 12/1 (Stan James/Betway)
Happy Punting!