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The % will change as it reassesses the scores. I think the fact we've swung from 30% to 3% in a few weeks is more to do with our Jekyll and Hyde performances than a failure in the methodology.
"Speaking of Birmingham, that win helped them clamber out of the relegation zone and reduced their probability of going down to 37.2%. That’s largely at the expense of Huddersfield Town, who conceded a very late equaliser at Bristol City and now go down in 57.1% of simulations. Sheffield Wednesday also avoided defeat as they drew 1-1 at home to Stoke City, but their relegation chances remain up there at 78.1%.
There are still 10 teams who could mathematically join Rotherham in going down, though after Birmingham, Huddersfield and Sheffield Wednesday, the only other teams with more than a 2% chance are QPR (14.7%) and Stoke (10.1%)."
Had a look at his stats for Plymouth: 3 shote, 0 on target 0 tackles, interceptions or blocked shots 22 passes, 59% completion - the lowest of any player in the team 7 crosses, 2 accurate 3 long balls, 1 accurate
Only allowed one shot on target and forcing them (edit) to shoot from outside the area.
We're never going to boss anyone and a team with a new manager bounce after a crap run isn't a problem. Remember they were banging goals in for fun at home at the start of the season.