Predictions 2008-9 - 1st Shrewsbury Town Wednesday, 6th Aug 2008 11:49
And here we are then. Our predictions for 2008-9 finish off with our tip for the Champions - Shrewsbury Town.
Shrewsbury Town |
last
season at a glance |
Last season for Shrewsbury was the sort of season
that we'll be hoping to avoid during this forthcoming season, as they
went into it as losing Play Off finalists from the season before. It all
started so well for them, and they were riding high in their lovely new
soulless stadium (can we please go back to GM?), and then they played
Dale, started celebrating a last minute 3-3 draw, and then along came
Alfie. And that last minute goal pretty much killed off their season.
They had a brief decent spell at Xmas, but after that
point it went as downhill as it's possible to get, with just two wins in
the whole of 2008.
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The
gaffer - Paul Simpson |
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It's very difficult to judge what sort of a manager that Paul Simpson is. We
know from his time at Spotland that he failed to get the best out of the squad
that he had to work with, but the job he did with Carlisle was remarkable and
can only ever be applauded. You can point to the fact that he had a massive
budget to work with comparatively but there's been many managers at this level
who have been handed the Queen Jewels and still done nothing with it.
His time at PNE was mixed, ultimately leading to his sacking. But in all
fairness to Simpson, North End had over achieved for a good few years and when
you lose the services of a England international stiker, it's one hell of a hole
to fill, especially when you're given bugger all of the money to play with.
Which brings us on to Shrewsbury. If we're being cynical, Simmo has shown himself to very
astute in heading to Shrewsbury. He arrived a club, knowing full well that he'll
be gifted the sort of budget that he was handed at Carlisle, which would allow
him to rebuild his reputation in the game after the damage it took at Preston.
A bit like if you were to go on Championship Manager now, you'd take over at
Leeds United because you'd know you'd have plenty of money to play with and
promotion should therefore be very easy.
It's not started well for him so far after his arrivals sparked a drop in form
which had already seen off Gary Peters. However, the Summer signings should
sufficiently ensure that all of last season's doom and gloom are forgotten and
that this August will be like a complete fresh start for him.
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Reasons for a better season |
££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££££
I know it's very easy to sit here and write off a team as being a
moneybags side, but let's be honest here. We wouldn't be here tipping
Shrewsbury to be Champions if they'd have kept the same side as last
season or operated on a budget like every other side in the division has
done. They are this year's Peterborough, and we full expect them to
enjoy the same level of success that Peterborough did last year.
The Shrews had a decent squad in the first place. Not a perfect one
by any stretch of the imagination. But one which was good enough to
reach Wembley in 2007, without any major departures from it since then.
And since coming in over the Summer, it's been fantasy football for
Simmo as he's chucked money about left, right and centre. It's not so
much about the transfer fees that have been given out, but more to do
with the wages that are being offered about.
Holt from Forest, Jackson from Blackpool, Cansdell-Sherriff from
Tranmere, Murray from Gretna, Coughlan from Rotherham, Walker from
Bristol Rovers...... the list goes on and one. Everyone of those
signings are established players, many of whom played regular football
at a higher level last season, leaving existing contracts or the offer
of one to come and play for Shrewsbury.
In bringing in those players, Simpson has pretty much signed a whole
new spine of a side, two central defenders, two central midfielders, two
new forwards. and a new keeper on loan from the Premiership too.
What will work to their advantage is that many of the players that
Simpson has brought in are players who are known for their work ethic.
Big money may well have been thrown about, but it's been thrown at
players who will give value for money.
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Reasons for a worse season |
We'd be lying if we said this
season was going to be a formality for Shrewsbury Town.
There are clearly issues within the
Shrewsbury camp where all is not well. You don't go from a team that
goes to Wembley one season to another which wins just two games in five
months in short space of time (we hope!). It would have been very easy
for the blame to be placed at the door of Gary Peters, and I'm sure it
was by many, but since Simpson's appointment, he's hardly turned it
round. In fact, he's still waiting for his honeymoon period. Shrewsbury
were actually worse under Simpson than they were under Peters, as seen
by the way they held on for a draw against our reserve team in May.
Will signing all these new players
be enough to rid the club of its bad influences / dressing room
discontent / whatever you want to call it? It might seem like it, but
Simpson has not signed a complete new team, and the team will need to be
filled with players from last season's squad. How will it go down with
the current squad that so many new players have come through the door?
Will there be a "them and us" mentality between the existing players and
the new signings. Any discontent within last season's squad can only
have been intensified by the number of them who have been pushed out by
the new signings.
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Season depends on - Ben Davies |
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I'm sure you'd have assumed that we'd have gone for Grant Holt in this
section here, but aside from it being too obvious, we kinda think we know what
sort of season that Holty will have regardless of how Shrewsbury, and as such,
we don't see the Shrewsbury season depending on it.
So we've opted for Ben Davies. Davies is a terrifically talented footballer,
and undoubtedly one of the best in the division. On his day, he can be
unplayable and if he can set up any type of partnership with some of the
similarly talented players around him, then the Shrews will without a doubt be
challenging for the title.
But I'd have to say that there are question marks hanging over Davies. No
doubting his talents, but he only seems to have performed throughout his career
in bad sides. Chester never did much at this level when he was there, and the
Shrews have underperformed since he arrived. Looking back at last season, you
could argue that their early season form when he was out through injury was far
more impressive than how they performed when he returned. Clearly that slump
wasn't purely down to Davies (I remember some Shrews fans blaming us for their
demise), but you'd have expected the return of a better player to make the team
better.
I've not seen enough of Davies to slate him as not being a team player, and
the concerns raised above may be purely coincidental. I've seen enough of him to
know how talented that he is and what a joy he can be to watch
at times. Giving him the captaincy, despite all the strong
characters through the door could be an absolute masterstroke by
Simpson. If Simpson can get this Davies performing to his best,
for the good of the team, then the Shrews will be unstoppable.
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RochdaleAFC.com Prediction |
1st - Champions
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Reasons for our prediction |
This is not a prediction we are 100% confident
about. There are issues at the New Meadow or Porn Star stadium or
whatever its called these days, and the first month of the season is
potentially the most important month in the recent history of the club.
This is certainly a season which could go wrong for the Shrews. If
they can get off to a decent start, then they should be alright. If not,
and it could just take a couple of bad results early on, then the
question marks will be out in force from both the supporters and the
players.
There's no doubting that traditionally Shrewsbury are not a set of
supporters who get on the back of their players and manager easily, but
on the back of last season's disappointment, they will be well aware
that they have probably never had a season before in their history where
they have had such a significantly bigger budget than all of their
rivals. If there appears to be no improvements from last season, the
fans will want to know why.
They won't be the only ones. I'm sure overall that the new signings
have given the club a massive lift, and any disappointments from last
season have been put to one side by the feeling that the Shrews can
really do something this season. But if they don't get off to a decent
start, that whispering will start and last year's under achievers will
begin to think "here we go again". Turning a "lost dressing room" around
is one of the toughest jobs to do, and whilst it wasn't Simpson who lost
them in the first place, it certainly didn't appear like he had them
onside last year.
But looking overall, they have a fantastic opportunity to leave this
division and for every reason to think it could go wrong, there's
another 5/6 to suggest that it'll work out perfectly.
They've got a striker in Grant Holt who is the perfect striker for
this division. You take the rough with the smooth, and you put up with
the yellow cards because he brings to you a striker who can bully
opposition defences for ninety minutes, and come up with those moments
of magic which are the difference between winning and drawing.
Whilst we all have our favourite Holty memories, but one which
typifies him was an away game at Grimsby where he was played as alone
front man and was given no change at all out of Justin Whittle all
afternoon. And with ten minutes to go, a long ball from our keeper saw
Holt shrug off Whittle for his first shot all afternoon. A 1-0 victory.
That's what Holt will give Shrewsbury. That victory out of nothing.
It was no surprise to Dale supporters to see the odds for Shrewsbury
to win the title drop to the extent that most bookies now make them
favourites, with many Dale supporters taking advantage of odds of 16-1
and higher, and Simmo did go on about making money for Dale. Perhaps its
the fans' turn this time to be the beneficiaries.
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Photo: Action Images
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