| Tonights games 14:22 - Jun 19 with 3550 views | dailew |
Romania drawing means we finish above them if we finish third with 3 pts.
Albania win and they may finish above us if we finish third with 3 pts.
Romania win 1-0 we would be above them if we draw 0-0 and finish third.
France to beat Switzerland by 2 or more or with Switzerland not scoring more than one goal and we would be above them if we draw 0-0 and finish third.
Romania v Albania
Best result: draw
2nd best: Albania win (and by as little as possilbe)
3rd best: Romania win 1-0
Worst: Big Romania win
France v Switzerland
Best result: France win by more than 2 or win and concede less than two goals.
2nd best: France win
Assuming Wales keep their excellent fair play record.
I think. [Post edited 19 Jun 2016 14:33]
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| Tonights games on 14:27 - Jun 19 with 2650 views | sherpajacob |
We definitely,want Romania v Albania to be a,draw.
Will be strange watching a game wanting nobody to.score and then changing allegiances depending on who if anyone scores first. |  |
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| Tonights games on 14:49 - Jun 19 with 2584 views | Glyn1 |
Relax! Too many ifs, buts and maybes at the moment.
But it's probably best for us if France don't finish top of their group. |  |
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| Tonights games on 14:54 - Jun 19 with 2560 views | dailew |
| Tonights games on 14:49 - Jun 19 by Glyn1 |
Relax! Too many ifs, buts and maybes at the moment.
But it's probably best for us if France don't finish top of their group. |
Why?
We can't meet them till the quarters. | |
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| Tonights games on 15:01 - Jun 19 with 2538 views | monmouth |
Dai, you're a machine. What's our current probability of qualifying? |  |
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| Tonights games on 15:34 - Jun 19 with 2453 views | dailew |
| Tonights games on 15:01 - Jun 19 by monmouth |
Dai, you're a machine. What's our current probability of qualifying? |
Too many variables.
But seeing a draw or better would make us almost certain to qualify and a loss about 25% likely I make the probability of us qualifying at around 73.3862%. | |
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| Tonights games on 16:01 - Jun 19 with 2393 views | airedale |
Best things to happen are, we beat them tomorrow and our supporters leg it out of the stadium before the Ruskies get them. |  | | |
| Tonights games on 17:09 - Jun 19 with 2275 views | JackFish |
Draw is definitely the best result for us because it takes them both out, but an Albania win wouldn't be too bad as long as it's by a single goal - they haven't scored yet and their goal difference would be -2, meaning even a 2 goal defeat to Russia sees us stay above them. As long as England beat Slovakia. |  | | |
| Tonights games on 17:29 - Jun 19 with 2235 views | sherpajacob |
| Tonights games on 15:34 - Jun 19 by dailew |
Too many variables.
But seeing a draw or better would make us almost certain to qualify and a loss about 25% likely I make the probability of us qualifying at around 73.3862%. |
If we lose, but finish third our chances are technically 4/6 or 67%.
If Romania draw tonight, it increases to 4/5, or 80%
If Romania.win it reduces to 3/5 or 60%
So a Romania draw increases our chances of qualifying(should we finish 3rd) by 20% | |
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| Tonights games on 20:44 - Jun 19 with 2034 views | oh_tommy_tommy |
| Tonights games on 17:29 - Jun 19 by sherpajacob |
If we lose, but finish third our chances are technically 4/6 or 67%.
If Romania draw tonight, it increases to 4/5, or 80%
If Romania.win it reduces to 3/5 or 60%
So a Romania draw increases our chances of qualifying(should we finish 3rd) by 20% |
One nil Albania
Their energy alone would beat wales
Should be 2-0 up [Post edited 19 Jun 2016 20:44]
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| Tonights games on 20:51 - Jun 19 with 1991 views | dailew |
| Tonights games on 20:44 - Jun 19 by oh_tommy_tommy |
One nil Albania
Their energy alone would beat wales
Should be 2-0 up [Post edited 19 Jun 2016 20:44]
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Yup. Romania looked stronger but Albania look good on the break and also missed an open goal.
Other game looks like they've both settled for a draw. | |
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| Tonights games on 20:57 - Jun 19 with 1968 views | monmouth |
| Tonights games on 20:44 - Jun 19 by oh_tommy_tommy |
One nil Albania
Their energy alone would beat wales
Should be 2-0 up [Post edited 19 Jun 2016 20:44]
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I love Albania after watching that. I hope they win 4-0. We need to do our own job. They've put our cowering, scaredy-cat, pathetic, negative shitfest against an ordinary England to shame. We need to put that right tomorrow and rely on absolutely no one else. | |
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| Tonights games on 20:57 - Jun 19 with 1968 views | Flashberryjack |
After watching us against Slovakia and England, Russia must be sh*tting themselves.
We have (arguably) one of the best attacking players in the world football.....and we save him for free kicks.. |  |
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| Tonights games on 21:02 - Jun 19 with 1950 views | dailew |
Lille pitch is awful. Another 3 games to play on it as well.. | |
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| Tonights games on 21:05 - Jun 19 with 1937 views | oh_tommy_tommy |
| Tonights games on 20:57 - Jun 19 by monmouth |
I love Albania after watching that. I hope they win 4-0. We need to do our own job. They've put our cowering, scaredy-cat, pathetic, negative shitfest against an ordinary England to shame. We need to put that right tomorrow and rely on absolutely no one else. |
Indeed so
Everyone's saying the same thing ,
Is go Collins for Taylor & play Ben wide left for starters . | |
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| Tonights games on 21:24 - Jun 19 with 1884 views | sherpajacob |
| Tonights games on 20:57 - Jun 19 by monmouth |
I love Albania after watching that. I hope they win 4-0. We need to do our own job. They've put our cowering, scaredy-cat, pathetic, negative shitfest against an ordinary England to shame. We need to put that right tomorrow and rely on absolutely no one else. |
We need to be positive tomorrow. We can maintain our 100% record of reaching the quarter finals at major tournaments. | |
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| Tonights games on 21:58 - Jun 19 with 1779 views | Lord_Bony |
If a tiny little country like Albania can play attacking football like that and comfortably win I m sure we can tomorrow...please no more of this cowering deep in our own half....
a historic win for them... |  |
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| Tonights games on 22:10 - Jun 19 with 1721 views | monmouth |
| Tonights games on 21:58 - Jun 19 by Lord_Bony |
If a tiny little country like Albania can play attacking football like that and comfortably win I m sure we can tomorrow...please no more of this cowering deep in our own half....
a historic win for them... |
Bigger than Wales on area with similar (90%) population.
Ain't google wonderful. | |
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| Tonights games on 22:18 - Jun 19 with 1690 views | Lord_Bony |
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| Tonights games on 22:38 - Jun 19 with 1623 views | monmouth |
So anyway have I got this right. Finish second in the group and will likely play Iceland or Hungary. Finish top likely to play Czech, Albania or Norn Iron. Limp through in third, get the Germans (or much less likely Poles or Spain). Finish fourth Goodbye Toulouse.
We don't want to be intruding through the tournament's catflap if we can help it here. [Post edited 19 Jun 2016 22:46]
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| Tonights games on 22:39 - Jun 19 with 1619 views | Murph75 |
Lets get our revenge for the Euro2004 play off defeat!!  |  | | |
| Tonights games on 22:50 - Jun 19 with 1570 views | Jango |
| Tonights games on 21:58 - Jun 19 by Lord_Bony |
If a tiny little country like Albania can play attacking football like that and comfortably win I m sure we can tomorrow...please no more of this cowering deep in our own half....
a historic win for them... |
We'd have to get through the last 16 first |  | | |
| Tonights games on 23:06 - Jun 19 with 1526 views | PozuelosSideys |
| Tonights games on 22:38 - Jun 19 by monmouth |
So anyway have I got this right. Finish second in the group and will likely play Iceland or Hungary. Finish top likely to play Czech, Albania or Norn Iron. Limp through in third, get the Germans (or much less likely Poles or Spain). Finish fourth Goodbye Toulouse.
We don't want to be intruding through the tournament's catflap if we can help it here. [Post edited 19 Jun 2016 22:46]
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Thats how i figured it as well. Get a point tomorrow and our route is much easier. Nil points or 3rd place and its as good as tatty bye |  |
| "Michu, Britton and Williams could have won 3-0 on their own. They wouldn't have required a keeper." | | Poll: | Hattricks |
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| Tonights games on 23:13 - Jun 19 with 1504 views | Brynmill_Jack |
| Tonights games on 22:39 - Jun 19 by Murph75 |
Lets get our revenge for the Euro2004 play off defeat!! |
Very much THIS ! |  |
| Each time I go to Bedd - au........................ |
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| Tonights games on 23:41 - Jun 19 with 1443 views | JackFish |
| Tonights games on 23:06 - Jun 19 by PozuelosSideys |
Thats how i figured it as well. Get a point tomorrow and our route is much easier. Nil points or 3rd place and its as good as tatty bye |
A point tomorrow still means third place and Germany if Slovakia manage to beat England. | | | |
| Tonights games on 00:07 - Jun 20 with 1398 views | phact0rri |
| Tonights games on 23:41 - Jun 19 by JackFish |
A point tomorrow still means third place and Germany if Slovakia manage to beat England. |
three points tomorrow and an english draw or loss means top of the group. |  |
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