| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions 12:10 - Mar 23 with 1185 views | RSCOSWORTH |
Position Team Points
1 Forest Green Rovers 86
2 Exeter City 84
3 Bristol Rovers 80
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4 Mansfield Town 80
5 Newport County 77
6 Port Vale 76
7 Northampton Town 76
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8 Tranmere Rovers 74
9 Swindon Town 73
10 Sutton United 72
11 Salford City 70
12 Hartlepool United 68
13 Crawley Town 59
14 Walsall 57
15 Carlisle United 55
16 Bradford City 54
17 Harrogate Town 51
18 Leyton Orient 50
19 Colchester United 49
20 Rochdale 48
21 Barrow 45
22 Oldham Athletic 40
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23 Stevenage 40
24 Scunthorpe United 27
I'd take this right now to be honest.
CheeRS |  |
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| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 18:07 - Mar 23 with 1137 views | wessex_exile |
None of that looks unreasonable RS. Mansfield's cavalry charge to the top of the play-offs stands out, as does Scunnie finishing on just 27 points, but neither are beyond the realms of possibility. I reckon you've got the survival mark at 40+pts pretty much spot-on the way things are going. |  |
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| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 21:39 - Mar 23 with 1092 views | noah4x4 |
The interesting next question (assuming RSCosworth's prediction was to be correct) where might this leave Rochdale should they suffer a ten point deduction? Even a five or six point deduction might put them in peril. Frankly, I would sooner trek to Stevenage on a Tuesday night rather than either Barrow, Rochdale or Oldham! |  | | |
| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 22:15 - Mar 23 with 1088 views | wessex_exile |
Interesting question about Rochdale. From what I've read it seems it was a 'hostile takeover' bid that they (Rochdale AFC) had no actual part of, and with some questionably dubious antics by those involved in the bid. Doesn't mean there won't be punishment due to a lack of due diligence, but whether it's a points deduction remains to be seen. | |
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| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 11:56 - Mar 24 with 1050 views | thrillseeker |
RSC - that final table prediction is not far off how I see things,
My only difference is I would swap Bristol Rovers with Mansfield and Stevenage with Oldham |  | | |
| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 08:19 - Mar 30 with 884 views | noah4x4 |
Last night's win for Oldham narrows the U's advantage to nine points - actually 8 points plus the equivalent of one for our superior Goal Difference. Keeping our recent defeats to FGR and Bristol Rovers to 1-0 is significant.
Oldham play Stevenage next, which means one or both must remain at least 8 points ( e.g., 7 + GD) in arrears, with the loser (or both) in even deeper trouble as games are running out. A point (or more) at Harrogate will be massive for the U's, albeit I think we are possibly already safe given the run in faced by Barrow, Oldham and Stevenage. All three are not going to overturn past poor form.
Stevenage are now in the drop zone. If they lose to Oldham and then to the U's, then I suspect they are as good as down. Maybe we dodged a bullet by not recruiting Tisdale or Evans? But still l don't think WB is the man for the job, unless we release him from Humes and De Souza. | | | |
| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 12:01 - Mar 30 with 847 views | wessex_exile |
| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 08:19 - Mar 30 by noah4x4 |
Last night's win for Oldham narrows the U's advantage to nine points - actually 8 points plus the equivalent of one for our superior Goal Difference. Keeping our recent defeats to FGR and Bristol Rovers to 1-0 is significant.
Oldham play Stevenage next, which means one or both must remain at least 8 points ( e.g., 7 + GD) in arrears, with the loser (or both) in even deeper trouble as games are running out. A point (or more) at Harrogate will be massive for the U's, albeit I think we are possibly already safe given the run in faced by Barrow, Oldham and Stevenage. All three are not going to overturn past poor form.
Stevenage are now in the drop zone. If they lose to Oldham and then to the U's, then I suspect they are as good as down. Maybe we dodged a bullet by not recruiting Tisdale or Evans? But still l don't think WB is the man for the job, unless we release him from Humes and De Souza. |
Not sure if you spotted it (if you peruse the OMB) but Matt Hudson did an analysis of the U's form since WB took over. As of last Sunday (i.e. post-Tranmere) the U's would be solid mid-table and just 2pts off the play-offs.
There are lots of ifs, buts and maybes, not least there's quite a bit of variability in games played for each team over that period, but perhaps a fair marker of the progress the team has made since Wayne, Joe and Dave took over?
Now, mid-table is hardly cause to break out the champagne, and yes there remains a question mark over tactical decisions at times, but perhaps not complete doom and gloom if he is awarded the role full-time at the end of the season? | |
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| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 12:58 - Mar 30 with 837 views | RSCOSWORTH |
| RSCOSWORTH's League Two Final Table Predictions on 12:01 - Mar 30 by wessex_exile |
Not sure if you spotted it (if you peruse the OMB) but Matt Hudson did an analysis of the U's form since WB took over. As of last Sunday (i.e. post-Tranmere) the U's would be solid mid-table and just 2pts off the play-offs.
There are lots of ifs, buts and maybes, not least there's quite a bit of variability in games played for each team over that period, but perhaps a fair marker of the progress the team has made since Wayne, Joe and Dave took over?
Now, mid-table is hardly cause to break out the champagne, and yes there remains a question mark over tactical decisions at times, but perhaps not complete doom and gloom if he is awarded the role full-time at the end of the season? |
I have a similar table, it's what I used to come up with my Final Table prediction above. If you sort by points per game you get a slightly different view although the position of the U's is very similar.
Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts Pts Total Pts
1 Exeter City 14 9 4 1 21 10 11 31 2.21 86
2 Bristol Rovers 17 10 4 3 24 10 14 34 2.00 77
3 Mansfield Town 13 7 4 2 20 13 7 25 1.92 80
4 Salford City 13 7 4 2 19 11 8 25 1.92 74
5 Port Vale 15 7 7 1 21 9 12 28 1.87 78
6 Newport County 14 7 4 3 20 15 5 25 1.79 76
7 Northampton Town 15 7 4 4 15 9 6 25 1.67 78
8 Hartlepool United 14 6 5 3 17 16 1 23 1.64 64
9 Forest Green Rovers 13 5 5 3 18 11 7 20 1.54 86
10 Swindon Town 14 6 3 5 23 18 5 21 1.50 73
11 Carlisle United 14 6 1 7 15 22 -7 19 1.36 56
12 Colchester United 15 5 5 5 18 17 1 20 1.33 51
13 Tranmere Rovers 14 5 3 6 17 19 -2 18 1.29 72
14 Sutton United 14 4 6 4 17 13 4 18 1.29 70
15 Crawley Town 15 5 4 6 20 21 -1 19 1.27 60
16 Walsall 15 5 3 7 13 19 -6 18 1.20 55
17 Oldham Athletic 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16 1.07 41
18 Harrogate Town 16 4 5 7 21 26 -5 17 1.06 54
19 Bradford City 15 4 3 8 12 18 -6 15 1.00 54
20 Rochdale 16 3 7 6 13 19 -6 16 1.00 50
21 Leyton Orient 17 3 6 8 14 19 -5 15 0.88 52
22 Barrow 14 2 5 7 8 17 -9 11 0.79 43
23 Stevenage 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7 0.58 39
24 Scunthorpe United 14 1 2 11 7 27 -20 5 0.36 27
Our points per game since we returned to League Two is as follows:
Season Pos PPG
2016-17 8 1.50
2017-18 13 1.35
2018-19 8 1.52
2019-20 6 1.57
2020-21 20 1.11
2021-22 20 1.08
The 1.33 points per game under Wayne Brown being slightly worse than the McGreal's lowest return from his four seasons in charge.
Looking at the last 13 seasons in League Two 1.33 points per game at the end of the season achieved positions between 9th and 16th in the table with 12th-14th being the norm. | |
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