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|Robith's Relegation Index 19/20|
at 10:25 16 Sep 2019
Hello fellow travellers of the night.
You may remember this thread from last year where I tried to create a way of seeing our chances of survival (aside from the brief fortnight we thought we were gonna make the play offs). I had planned to bring it back, and had some nice feedback that people wanted to see it again. Now we've played 15% of our game it feels robust enough to have a look
Also, others made great contributions too, so maybe this could be a catch all stats thread
From last year - "So I've tried to create a basic statistics system to see. Totally based in the numbers we need to post rather than subjective analysis of how games have gone.
So each week I'll post the index of our chance of survival. Indices work by converting separate numbers into a base (which is scored as 100) and working out how more or less likely an outcome is. 120 is the mark for something significantly being likely to happen, 80 is the mark for something being significantly unlikely to happen."
So in summary - 100 equals standard. Above 100 = good, below 100=bad
I've taken the average points for the last 5 years. Play offs = 76.2. Survival = 46.6
Play Offs: 117
Interestingly though when we look at vs the same results last year (so discounting Hudd & Luton) we have 9 points vs last year's 10. I've built this in this year so will keep monitoring it.
Encouraging start. 28% of points for survival accomplished already.
|Six Nations Thread 2019|
at 09:19 30 Jan 2019
It's that time of year again
IN BEFORE - posh people taking over pubs and not drinking. It's been done lads
Intriguing year this year pre World Cup. Some talk teams should blood players, but imo that should have been done already. This is about making sure your team is battle hardened and firing.
England have absolutely lost the plot imo. Trying to play mind games with the second most professional set of players in the world and posting videos of them trying to copy Ireland's tactics waving pool noodles at people. Gonna be quite embarrassing when Ireland grind them into dust.
Ireland - last year I felt like we should be winning by default with everyone else's injuries, but in that process they seemed to find the confidence to drive on to ever new heights. Leinster are dominating the European game. We'll have a target on us and we'll relish it - but this is a test of how good we actually are and how we've manged to negate our bottle job heritage.
Wales are the quiet ones to watch. They've steadily been racking up wins, look refreshed with some new personnel, and got that Australia win monkey off their backs. I'm going to Wales Ireland final game and I'm expecting it to be the decider.
Scotland - won't win but are bloody good fun to watch. France and Italy remain rubbish.
Some of you may remember that I tried to start a rugby podcast last year - and I've put a bit of effort in to get it off the ground again this year. If Clive's ok with self promotion, you can listen to it here, or search for Numbers! in the itunes store!
at 09:47 17 Dec 2018
Absolutely gutted - I've been backing a red card the last few weeks FFS
|Any club historians with time to spare?|
at 16:38 6 Nov 2018
Hello everyone. A mate of mine who I play cricket with is a member of the running club Queens Park Harriers, and is currently writing a history of their club.
It transpires we were both the same entity until we began to focus on football.
He asked me for help and I thought I'd pass it on. Anyone got any knowledge of the early days of the club, or know some people I can connect him with who might know some stuff on our history?
|Robith's Relegation Index|
at 09:42 3 Oct 2018
I think we can all agree that our primary objective this year needs to be first and foremost to stay up. Further it's been say a mixed bag of a season, where even I, the perennial happy clapper was calling for the manager to be sacked after 5 games. I saw a comment in Brian's thread of someone saying "well, they'll just say Reading were crap" and that got me thinking. Yeah people will.
So I've tried to create a basic statistics system to see. Totally based in the numbers we need to post rather than subjective analysis of how games have gone.
So each week I'll post the index of our chance of survival. Indices work by converting separate numbers into a base (which is scored as 100) and working out how more or less likely an outcome is. 120 is the mark for something significantly being likely to happen, 80 is the mark for something being significantly unlikely to happen.
I've set the base for safety at 50 points. Can revise on feedback
So Gameweek 11:
Played: 11/46 - 24% of games played
Points: 13/50 - 26% of points needed
Based on this our current survival index is 109
At this stage we look like staying up, but it's not a sure thing - we're tracking very close to the baseline run rate.
Stay tuned for more exciting stats action as it comes
|Six Nations 2018|
at 12:41 31 Jan 2018
Kicks off this weekend! Thought it might be good to take people's mind off the doom at the moment.
Some shameless pluging as well, you may know I used to write the old blogs, well I've now started a podcast as well, which I'd be honoured if you gave it a listen. Preview of the tournament and my squeaky voice for you delection
(apols for plugging clive, let me know if it's not cool and I'll take it down)
Anyway open tournament - England have a lot of injuries as do Wales. Kinda makes Ireland favourites by default, and despite my recent scepticism on us, we really should be winning it.
Scotland are the glamour team, but they're missing a lot of front rowers so will their backs get the ball enough? Wales have had to pick a lot of the Scarlets players so will be interesting to see how they play.
FAO: people who will moan about pubs with made up stories about rugby fans. We've heard it all before so maybe lay off it? Surely preferable to gastro pubs full of Cockney Reds on a Sunday #winkyface #banter #earlybirdcatchestheworm
|Still Laughing Thread|
at 12:08 28 Nov 2017
oh mercy, I haven't laughed this hard since ma got her tits caught in the mangle
at 12:06 20 Nov 2017
Sorry - did I miss a law change meaning intentional and retaliatory elbows are now only yellow?
at 13:54 26 Oct 2017
Raised over £900k.
at 11:23 20 Aug 2017
Where you at?
This is a banter thread
|Blast from the Past: Dani Parejo|
at 09:25 10 Jul 2017
Saw on the auld twitter today that Barcelona are after former R loanee Dani Parejo, but Valencia won't budge on their SIXTY MILLION EURO valuation.
Which I guess makes Barca chumps because all QPR fans know he's rubbish
|Cheer on a Rainy Monday Thread|
at 14:04 27 Feb 2017
New starter at work today. We always make them do 3 facts about themselves which one of the owners reads out during our weekly team presentation. One of new guy's facts were that he was a Chelsea fan, the first we've hired., In the weekly presentation there will be a slide on each new starter as the presenter tells everyone there facts.
Imagine my joy that one of the owners embedded a gif of the John Terry penalty miss into his intro slide and left it up on a loop while we told everyone the facts about this guy. Cue much laughter and a warm fuzzy feeling inside. Set me up proper for the rest of the rest of the day.
Share some Rangers related cheer
|6 Nations 2017 Thread|
at 11:39 3 Feb 2017
A new thread for a new year. England look sure fire good things to me, though they'll need to win in Dublin which won't be easy.
France and Italy both look terrible.
Get all your posts about posh people in pubs out of the way now.
I know some of you have liked or been angered by my blogs in the past - I've tried to make it a proper thing now, so it's here. Let me know if that's not OK clive and I'll take it down, don't want to be stealing your traffic now:
|A damning indictment of JFH |
at 09:55 21 Nov 2016
Let's get Monday morning rolling shall we.
I was of the team who thought Hasselbaink should be given time, and definitely until the end of the season. I understood people's frustrations, but I thought we needed to reshape how we did things. I also thought Holloway was a regressive appointment that would probably end in tears.
Whilst one swallow against a DGAF Norwich team does not a summer make, the fact that in a week Holloway managed to get us in a new formation (I think if Robinson hadn't been injured or we had a fit replacement we'd have pummelled them), play which such vigour, purpose and intent with the exact same players is pretty damning on JFH.
After Brentford my dad text me (I was at a wedding) to say "I just can't believe Jimmy's telling them to play like that". Maybe he actually was.
Early days, and we'll see how it goes. But one of my prevailing thoughts walking away from Loftus Road was "I can't believe I spent so much of my time standing up for him"
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