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Contrasting Fortunes?
Monday, 22nd Apr 2019 09:39 by Planet Swans (follow us on Twitter @swansnews)

The one thing we do know is that Ipswich will be playing League One football next season with their relegation being confirmed a while back now after a season that has seen them win very little.

The next thing that we know is that the Swans are winning everything before them in the league at home but have failed to register a single league win on the road since the opening day of the year when Reading were comprehensively beaten on their own patch.

Indeed, the Swans form has become so contradictory that we have won six straight league games at the Liberty but during the same period have been beaten on our last seven road trips in the league.

The records are stark compared to each other, the home form reads: -

P-6, W-6, F-16, A-5, Pts-18

with the away form reading:-

P-7, L-7, F-3, A-17, Pts-0

You would assume therefore that a Bank Holiday road trip to a side already relegated would give us great confidence until you factor in that the same side won at the Liberty earlier this season, one of only two wins on the road and one of only four they have achieved all season.

It is incredible how much of a contrast this Swansea side is now currently seeing between home and away form since the start of February and it is something that has taken away the chances the Swans had of the play offs this season, even 3 wins from those 7 on the road would have seen us still in contention at this point.

Ipswich will check on veteran defender James Collins ahead of the visit of Swansea.

Centre-back Collins sat out the defeat at Preston on Friday as he continues to manage a calf problem.

You can find the odds on this game and all today's fixtures at the Swans official sponsors Bet UK at this link

Swansea midfielder Bersant Celina will be assessed ahead of a potential return to action against his former club.

The Kosovo international, who has a foot problem, missed the win over Rotherham because of illness and Barrie McKay is set to retain his place.

Looking at the betting for this game we look at three potential match odds

1. Given the Swans horrendous away form then you would expect shorter odds than 3/1 on a home Ipswich victory. Whether the bookies have clocked the Swans run or not is up for debate but they will simply factor in Ipswich's terrible form all season. It never feels right betting against the Swans, but at 3/1 for a home win, it would take away some of the pain of defeat.

2. Dan James is close to unplayable at home at the moment but doesn't seem to have that same impact away. Rotherham manager Paul Warne said after Friday's game that "He will go on to have a great career, no doubt. I think he is one of the top two players in the league - my other is the Aston Villa captain (Jack Grealish). Those two win games on their own. He absolutely annihilated us at our place - he was unplayable. I knew we had to curtail James' pace which is a joke, it's like he's on a motorbike." Ipswich could struggle against him today and odds of 9/4 for him to score at any time seem generous at best.

3. Given our terrible away record but tendency to score goals at the moment this game screams that both sides are likely to find the back of the net. And whilst odds of 20/31 don't seem generous they reflect the likelihood of it happening and has to be worth a shot. However, we will combine it with both scoring and the Swans winning which takes the odds to 9/4 and feels a decent bet.

You can find the odds on this game and all today's fixtures at the Swans official sponsors Bet UK at this link

Photo: Action Images



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