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Predictions 2008-9 - 8th Brentford
Predictions 2008-9 - 8th Brentford
Monday, 4th Aug 2008 19:07

For our next prediction for the 2008-9 season, we're heading down to the Capital to see how we think Brentford will do. So here we go, eighth place for the Bees.

Brentford
last season at a glance

Right, lets be honest. The writing was on the wall for Brentford as soon as they appointed Terry Butcher as their manager. Well not so much appointing him, but after his appointment where he did a photoshoot for the world's media (a photoshoot I ask you in League Two) where he sat about smiling pensively, looking towards the camera like he was Head of Sports at Eton College or something. Have a word son.

Anyway, it went from bad to worse with Butcher, and the Brentford board soon saw sense, sacked him and stuck long time Brentford servant Andy Scott in his place, bringing an immediate turnaround and rid of the club's fanbase of any worries about getting dragged into the relegation battle.

Eventually, Scott steered the Bees towards a final position of 14th place.

The gaffer - Andy Scott
Brentford seem to be another side to follow the Rochdale model. When times are bad, sack your manager, install a popular former defender as your new boss and then sit back and wait for the good times to kick in.

When he was appointed, his impact was as good as you could ever expect from a manager. That honeymoon period turned out to be the dream honeymoon cruising around the world, as they went on a run of 9 wins and 2 draws from his first twelve games in charge, and they even had people whispering about Brentford being possible play off contenders.

Reasons for a better season

Lack of goals was probably the biggest problem for Brentford last season. Connell got 12 which was okay I guess, and Poole did well from midfield with 14, but after that their best scorer in the League was Lee Thorpe with four and he left in January. So Scott has gone out and got himself someone with a decent scoring record in the former of Charlie MacDonald that we discuss further down.

And that should be the big difference. They have a midfield which can score goals. If you make the assumption that Connell and Poole get a similar figure between them, and even if you assume that MacDonald only gets around fifteen, that'd be something like eleven extra goals over a season to what they had last year which will account for a higher placed finish.

Kudos to the manager too. A full season of Andy Scott will do better than a split season of Terry Butcher and then Andy Scott picking up the piece. Scott's record as a manager over a full season would average out at 68 points, which would have seen a much better finish.

Reasons for a worse season

Following the expiry of that initial honeymoon period, and if we're being honest, anyone could have been an improvement on Butcher, things then got a bit hit and miss with ten defeats in their final fifteen games of the season. We saw down at Griffin Park that Scott clearly had a lot of work to do, as we didn't play particularly well but left with a pretty comfortable 2-0 victory. Would suggest that the problems are a little more deep rooted than just at management level.

Season depends on - Charlie MacDonald

MacDonald is a great example of a player who started off in the game, and didn't make it before disappearing down into the non league format of the game. Whilst for the majority, this usually means obscurity, but McDonald has bounced back and his fLeague One side Southend to give him another shot.

It's arguable whether this move worked out or not, but he made a step up of two divisions, and played around 35 games for Southend, so that suggests he was doing something right, as does the number of side that were interested in his services at the end of the 2007-8 season when he was made available for transfer by Southend.

Brentford won the battle to sign him in what seemed to be quite a drawn out transfer but they did eventually get their man, and he will be the one they look to get goals during the forthcoming season to assist a painfully goal shy forward line where the top scorer was a midfielder. Suppose it was at Man Utd too if you're being picky.

RochdaleAFC.com Prediction

8th - Play Off hopefuls

Reasons for our prediction
Brentford were massive disappointments last time out, and a long way (and several millions) from the last time we saw them in the basement division. Perhaps the biggest criticism you could level at them was that their final league position of 13th was a little flattering of them, and they looked in great danger of becoming yet another relegated side to take up permanent residence in the bottom half.

On paper, it would appear that their star man last season was former Dale midfielder Glenn Poole who got a fantastic fourteen goals from midfield for them. That was most certainly the difference between 13th and finishing down with the Dagenhams of this world and thats certainly not a world that Brentford should be inhabiting. The big question I'd have on this is whether Poole can repeat that tally this time round.

In fairness to Scott, he has made changes, and bringing in MacDonald should be a big boost. Perhaps the biggest challenge facing him is trying to get MacDonald to form a partnership with the enigmatic Alan Connell. Connell has always won praise on our messageboard when he has played against us, since scoring a superb goal for Torquay many years ago, but no matter where he's been, he's never really formed a decent relationship with anyone, and his teams have often under performed. Getting them two to link up would create a handful for any defence.

If we're being critical, we don't see the squad changing too much. I know there's the odd tweak here and there, but surely last season would suggest that the squad wasn't good enough, and given that they played that way under two managers, it would say to me that its more than them just underachieving. Maybe they are already playing at their potential.

We expect a better season from the Bees tho'. Nothing outstanding, but we reckon Scott will be get them winning more games than they lose, and if they can hit the ground running (and other clichés) then they can make sure they end up at the right end of the table but it won't be enough to make the Play Offs.

The key factor could be whether the Brentford fans who are used to watching football at a higher level would see improvement as being a good thing or whether anything outside the play offs counts as failure. I fear for them that it will be the latter.

Photo: Action Images



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