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I've spent a lot of the last few months looking at the form table - better reading than the league table most of the time.
I just did a comparison of the form of each team around us, and an average of the form of the 3 teams each is about to play (lower average meaning a theoretically tougher task). I haven't got into home form vs away form, play-off chances etc. So it may not be worth much, but gives me some hope that we may be able to grind things out and hang on.
That's basically word for word what I'm clinging to as well.
That Preston midweek trip to Southampton could be very nicely timed for us. All the way down there Tuesday, back home, all the way back to London Saturday, for games that like you say probably aren't going to matter for them now.
Was reading one of the analytics accounts during the week and they said in the Championship when teams play 'away fatigued' (playing an away game after another game within the previous 3/4 days) their away win ratio over the season drops by 15% vs baseline. When you play a 'double away' i.e. a second away game within four days, the away win ratio drops again even below that.
Yeh's it a fcking horrible weekend of fixtures elsewhere for us. I'm expecting at least 3/4 of them to win.
On the other hand if Huddersfield and Wednesday lose, we kick off against Preston knowing 3 points effectively guarantees survival. That would be lovely.
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Are we staying up? on 17:14 - Apr 15 with 1985 views
On the other hand if Huddersfield and Wednesday lose, we kick off against Preston knowing 3 points effectively guarantees survival. That would be lovely.
But that means we'd have to be very un-QPR and actually turn up for a must-win game!
On the other hand if Huddersfield and Wednesday lose, we kick off against Preston knowing 3 points effectively guarantees survival. That would be lovely.
Well, Huddersfield. Sheff Weds don't get a go until Sunday.
If Huddersfield can't beat Swansea at home in their situation then we're worrying about nothing, but I can't believe they're not going to.
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Are we staying up? on 18:06 - Apr 15 with 1953 views
My fear since Swansea was one bad weekend changes everything and we've just had that. I don't fancy us at all at home and we now have a must win game next week which I can't say I fancy us in
Those dropped points at Plymouth and Sunderland could cost us
Losing home and away to Sheff Wed and 2 draws v Plymouth 2 points from 12 is what has cost us imo and Plymouth had 10 men for 60 mins and we still couldn't beat them
Wild horses couldn't drag me away...
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Are we staying up? on 19:07 - Apr 15 with 1833 views
Preston mathematically might still have a chance of the Playoff's so this will be a difficult game along with us being at home, stuggling to score, experiencing a dip in form and having a weak mentality.
But the good QPR might make an appearance so like the rest of us I am clinging.
[Post edited 16 Apr 3:25]
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Are we staying up? on 15:11 - Apr 16 with 1302 views
Preston mathematically might still have a chance of the Playoff's so this will be a difficult game along with us being at home, stuggling to score, experiencing a dip in form and having a weak mentality.
But the good QPR might make an appearance so like the rest of us I am clinging.
[Post edited 16 Apr 3:25]
If Preston fail to win at Southampton tonight, Norwich could put them to bed at home to Bristol before our game even kicks off.
Chances of Coventry still having skin in the game by the final match is also slim.
If we fail those tests we fully deserve to end up in league one.
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Are we staying up? on 19:59 - Apr 16 with 1152 views
The six pointers are crucial. It was lovely to win at Leicester but i’d swap that in a heartbeat for a win against Sheff Weds. We’d still have the same points as now but Weds would now be three points less and with Birmingham and Huddersfield playing each other, both can’t win.
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Are we staying up? on 12:09 - Apr 17 with 909 views
Maybe misplaced but I’m optimistic Rotherham can do us a favour. They beat Millwall at home and were apparently not abysmal in a tight defeat at Swansea (plus Birmingham are crap).
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Are we staying up? on 13:07 - Apr 17 with 757 views
Preston mathematically might still have a chance of the Playoff's so this will be a difficult game along with us being at home, stuggling to score, experiencing a dip in form and having a weak mentality.
But the good QPR might make an appearance so like the rest of us I am clinging.
[Post edited 16 Apr 3:25]
Their mathematical chance of the playoffs is microscopic. They are eight behind Norwich in sixth, effectively nine with a 20 worse goal difference and they also have the worst GD of that clutch of three clubs around them on 63 points. Hull and Coventry above them, also have a game in hand. Their season is done.
If we can't get a home win in that situation, then we deserve relegation.
Are we staying up? on 14:19 - Apr 14 by YorkRanger
We probably need one win, or maybe a win and a draw. Would be good to get something towards that against Preston, but it will not be season defining if we don't.
Obviously it will if we lose to Preston and then sink from there.
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